{"id":944,"date":"2025-03-15T13:34:12","date_gmt":"2025-03-15T13:34:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/?p=944"},"modified":"2025-03-15T13:34:12","modified_gmt":"2025-03-15T13:34:12","slug":"the-polling-imperilment-rick-perlstein-the-american-prospect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/2025\/03\/15\/the-polling-imperilment-rick-perlstein-the-american-prospect\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cThe Polling Imperilment\u201d &#8211; Rick Perlstein (The American Prospect)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u201cThat error opens up onto the myriad conceptual fallacies built into the entire enterprise, if something so unavoidable can be called an \u201cerror.\u201d Past performance is no guarantee of future results; but past performance is all a pollster has to go on. That\u2019s why much of the process of choosing and weighting samples is \u2026 well, you can call it \u201cmore art than science.\u201d Or you can call it \u201cintuitive.\u201d Or you can call it \u201ctrial and error.\u201d But you can also call it \u201cmade up.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/prospect.org\/politics\/2024-09-25-polling-imperilment\/\">https:\/\/prospect.org\/politics\/2024-09-25-polling-imperilment\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cThat error opens up onto the myriad conceptual fallacies built into the entire enterprise, if something so unavoidable can be called an \u201cerror.\u201d Past performance is no guarantee of future results; but past performance is all a pollster has to go on. That\u2019s why much of the process of choosing and weighting samples is \u2026&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"webmentions_disabled":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[5,3,4],"class_list":["post-944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-links_read","tag-extract","tag-linksread","tag-mastodon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/944","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=944"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/944\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":945,"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/944\/revisions\/945"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=944"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=944"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/posse.keithlewiskeithlewis.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=944"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}