Tag: rss_source

“The industry now is contracting and adapting. I would argue that the changes it is undergoing are changes for the better. I’ve spoken to a lot of movie execs over the last few weeks and not one of them has any interest in trying to set up a $200 million movie at a streamer; they’re all talking in terms of more modestly budgeted movies that might sell tickets at an actual movie theatre. The TV people still think there is a market for drama, but it has shrunk – the ideas need to be better, the budgets need to be significantly lower. And I think we’re slowly, s-l-o-w-l-y moving away from the godawful notion that everything has to be based on something else”

https://developmenthell.substack.com/p/do-the-work

“Excel made a whole new style of working possible for the financial industry in two ways. First, it facilitated the creation of much bigger and more detailed financial models; in the days when you had to fill everything in yourself having worked it out on a pocket calculator, you would really think twice about whether you really needed to estimate staff costs separately from other costs, let alone about how many divisions and geographies you were going to model for big companies.

But much more importantly, it allowed you to work iteratively. Rather than thinking about what assumptions made the most business sense, then sitting down to project them, Excel encouraged you to just set out the forecasts, then sit around tweaking the assumptions up and down until you got an answer you could live with”

https://backofmind.substack.com/p/the-spreadsheet-revolution

“They are really rather beautiful things, of the sort which we rarely appreciate. They’re the product of years of hard-fought for constitutional change. They are the kind of literature which a sophisticated political society produces, so that it can govern itself more effectively. They deserve a level of respect which we do not currently give them

But these reports only work where the political culture around them actually gives a damn. They rely on journalists and politicians bothering to read them, or at least skimming the executive summary. They rely on publications acknowledging that they exist and that their conclusions provide a final word on what is really happening”

https://iandunt.substack.com/p/a-little-love-song-to-the-national

“ If we could step back for just a moment and look not at the immediate question of which candidate and policy in which point of time, but at the general political strategy of the Democrats for the past 50 years – that is, moderating, triangulating, and other euphemisms for moving rightward – we would have to conclude that it has failed. And yet there is precious little appetite for actually coming up with a radically different approach, because ultimately politics is about taxes and the funding base of the party are rich people who won’t tolerate significantly higher taxes”

https://freddiedeboer.substack.com/p/clintonism-lost-in-2000

“Mosquera either hacked the CBF’s official email account or created a fake one (reports vary) that he used to convince the Russians he was a representative of the national team. He allegedly then managed to get the Russians (probably desperate to put together a tournament, given the sanctions) to pay all the team’s expenses, including flights from Bogotá, luxury hotels, and meals. The “team,” however, was allegedly just 11 of Mosquera’s pals and a guy posing as their coach. Mosquera himself wrangled a flight down from Kazan (where he was reportedly studying architecture) to join them when they arrived, and the rest is allegedly history”

https://www.loweringthebar.net/2024/11/still-no-lawsuit-against-the-fake-colombian-basketball-team.html

“It takes effort to remember that the figures and outfits in the paintings were just what was around at the time, not some remembered or imagined history. The frocks and suits were the equivalent of today’s cardigans and crop tops and baggy jeans and chore coats. (There’s a genre of 21st-century painting that I’ve taken to thinking of as Brooklyn Impressionism, IYKYK.) In the paintings, these are people just walking around in the park upon an afternoon, taking their dogs out, drinking glasses of wine. (I would love to see an Impressionism show focused solely on meals and tables.) The normalcy was radical, the banality was modern”

https://onethingnewsletter.substack.com/p/paintings-of-your-friends-and-nice

“Nature takes babies by the bushel, sending decent and vulnerable career women to the bathroom at work, bleeding, weeping and inconsolable, telling themselves they’ve got five minutes to get it together and head back to their desks so that no one knows. Once you understand that you live in a world where atoms make up cells that make up tissues that make up organs that make up embryos that end up as clots in the toilets of people who desperately, desperately want to have children, you can’t take the idea of a “right to life” seriously anymore”

https://freddiedeboer.substack.com/p/all-the-little-unborn-babies

“farmland in the UK, up until the last budget, was not subject to inheritance tax. This made it popular as an investment for very rich people, which pushed the price up markedly. It’s quite tricky to precisely model the value of the tax shield, but the marginal rate[1] of inheritance tax is 40%; if you’re close enough to the Grim Reaper to be thinking seriously about estate planning, you might be willing to accept a really quite low annual rate of return in order to avoid that.

Which is what happened – in the thirty or so years since Agricultural Land Relief was brought into the tax code, the price per acre of farmland has gone up roughly fourfold, and according to credible numbers I’ve seen, there are plenty of farms which, considered as businesses, are earning a return on assets of less than 1%”

https://backofmind.substack.com/p/things-you-do-which-youd-rather-not

“Now, Kalshi – riding the wave of those accurate predictions, millions of new users and billions of dollars in trades – is expanding the range of what its users can bet on. Polymarket is courting political influencers like Nate Silver and ZeroHedge to pose questions that users can bet on. Robinhood and DraftKings plan to throw their hats in the political betting ring, too. Will every public event soon be freighted with billions of dollars in online wagers? Will the Oscars become a new type of speculative financial market? Would you stake your life’s savings on whether egg prices will go up during Trump’s first month in office, a real bet you can make on Kalshi?”

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/nov/19/betting-markets-come-for-everything-and-the-fbi-comes-for-a-betting-market

“there is a cult of learned helplessness at the core of most American institutions, one that Trump punctured by appearing to be a man of action. And the Democratic Party in 2024, with its associated law firms, think tanks, elected officials, donors, and media outlets, was rejected by voters precisely because the core value on the left, center, and right is about embracing powerlessness. This pervasive belief has an intellectual and political origin, and it conflicts directly with the anti-monopoly framework”

https://www.thebignewsletter.com/p/on-the-democratic-partys-cult-of